N’ubwo umubano wa Putin na Trump warushijeho kuzamo igitotsi haracyashoboka amasezerano ku ntambara ya Ukraine
Ese umubano hagati ya Donald Trump na Vladimir Putin warushijeho kujya mu kaga? Ikinyamakuru kimwe gikomeye cyo mu Burusiya kibibona gutyo. Cyifashishije urugero rw’ibirindiro by’imizinga (trains) mu gusobanura uko ibintu bihagaze hagati ya Amerika n’u Burusiya.
“Kugongana imbere birasa nk’aho bidashobora kwirindwa,” niko Moskovsky Komsomolets yabitangaje vuba aha.
“Gari ya moshi ya Trump n’iya Putin biri kwihuta cyane bigana kuri buri kimwe.”
“Kandi nta n’imwe iri kwitegura guhagarara cyangwa guhindura icyerekezo.”
Ku ruhande rwa Putin, ‘gari ya moshi’ ye iri gukomeza urugendo rwayo ititeguye guhagarara, binyuze mu cyo yise “Special Military Operation” – ni ukuvuga intambara y’u Burusiya muri Ukraine. Perezida w’u Burusiya ntiyigeze agaragaza ubushake bwo guhagarika imirwano cyangwa gushyiraho agahenge karambye.
Icyarimwe, Trump nawe akomeje gushyira igitutu kuri Moscow ngo ihagarike intambara, abinyujije mu kwihanangiriza, gutangaza amatariki ntarengwa, no kugenera u Burusiya ibihano bishya by’ubukungu, harimo n’imisoro ihanitse ku bihugu bifitanye naryo ubucuruzi nka Ubuhinde n’u Bushinwa.
Byiyongera kuri ibyo, Trump yavuze ko yahinduye imyanya y’uburyo bubiri bw’ubutasi bw’amato ya kirimbuzi (nuclear submarines) ya Amerika, akayegereza u Burusiya.
Iyo uvuye ku majwi ya gari ya moshi ukajya ku mato ya kirimbuzi, uba ugiye mu bintu bikomeye.
Ariko se ibi bivuze ko Amerika na Kremlin biri mu nzira y’ugushyamirana kudasubirwaho ku kibazo cya Ukraine?
Cyangwa se uruzinduko Steve Witkoff – intumwa yihariye ya Trump – agiye kugirira i Moscow muri iki cyumweru, rugaragaza ko, inyuma y’amagambo akomeye, hakiri amahirwe yo kugera ku masezerano?
Intangiriro yuje ubushuti nyuma ya Trump kugaruka ku butegetsi
Mu byumweru bya mbere bya manda ya kabiri ya Trump, umubano hagati ya Moscow na Washington waragaragazaga ibimenyetso by’uko ushobora kongera gusubirana.
Nta na kimwe cyagaragazaga ibimenyetso byo kugongana. Mu by’ukuri, byari bisa nk’aho Putin na Trump bari mu modoka imwe, bagana mu cyerekezo kimwe.
Muri Gashyantare, Leta Zunze Ubumwe za Amerika zahisemo gufatanya n’u Burusiya muri Loni, zanga umwanzuro wateguwe n’u Burayi ushinja u Burusiya ibikorwa by’ubugizi bwa nabi muri Ukraine.
Muri uko kwezi, Trump na Putin banavuganye kuri telefoni, bemeranya ko bashobora gusurana. Byaragaragaraga ko inama hagati yabo bombi ishobora kuba igihe icyo ari cyo cyose.
Icyo gihe, Trump yagaragazaga igitutu ku butegetsi bwa Ukraine, aho kuba ku Burusiya, ndetse ajya no mu makimbirane n’abafatanyabikorwa gakondo ba Amerika nka Kanada na Danemarke.
Abayobozi ba Amerika babaga mu myanya ikomeye batangazaga amagambo akomeye anenga NATO n’abayobozi b’u Burayi. Ibi byose byari ibiryoha kuri Kremlin.
“Ubu Amerika ifite byinshi isangiye n’u Burusiya kurusha ibyo isangiye na Bruxelles cyangwa Kyiv,” niko Konstantin Blokhin, umusesenguzi w’umutekano, yabitangarije Izvestia muri Werurwe.
Muri Mata, icyo kinyamakuru cyakomeje kivuga ko:
“Abashyigikiye Trump ni nk’abahanga impinduka. Barasenya uburyo busanzwe bw’imiyoborere. Bashobora gusa gushyigikirwa muri ibi. Ubumwe bw’Uburayi ntibukibaho. Trump yasenye uwo mwuka w’ubufatanye mu Burengerazuba (Transatlantic consensus).”
Trump ashaka byinshi kurusha impano
Uwo Witkoff, intumwa ya Trump, yahindutse umukerarugendo usanzwe muri Moscow, aho yagiriye ingendo enye mu gihe cy’amezi abiri gusa, agirana ibiganiro birebire na Vladimir Putin.
Nyuma y’inama imwe, Putin yamuhaye ifoto ya Donald Trump ngo ayisubize mu biro by’umukuru w’igihugu.
Trump ngo byaramukoze ku mutima.
Ariko Trump yashakaga ibirenze ishusho – yashakaga ko Putin yemera guhagarika imirwano nta mabwiriza agoranye (unconditional ceasefire) muri Ukraine.
Kwiheba kwa Trump kwiyongera
Putin, wizeye ko afite icyizere ku rugamba, yanze guhagarika intambara, nubwo avuga ko ashaka umuti wa dipolomasi.
Ibyo ni byo byatangiye gutera Trump kwerekana ko ahangayikishijwe cyane na Kremlin.
Mu byumweru bishize, yashinje u Burusiya ibitero bikomeje kuri Ukraine, abita “ibiteye isoni”, “ibigayitse”, ndetse yita Putin umuntu “uvuga ubuyobe bwinshi” ku bijyanye na Ukraine.
Mu kwezi gushize, Trump yahaye Putin ultimatum y’iminsi 50 ngo abe yahagaritse intambara, bitaba ibyo akamushyiriraho ibihano n’imisoro. Nyuma yayigabanyije agira iminsi 10, iyo tariki ikaba igomba kurangira mu mpera z’iki cyumweru.
Ariko kugeza ubu, nta kimenyetso ko Putin yiteguye gukomeza uwo mugambi wa Washington.
Ese Putin yumva agomba kwitinya koko?
“Trump amaze guhindura imipaka y’amatariki inshuro nyinshi, ndetse agahindura imyanzuro uko abyumva, mbona Putin atakimufata nk’umuntu ukomeye,”
nk’uko Prof. Nina Khrushcheva, impuguke mu by’imibanire mpuzamahanga muri New York, yabivuze.
Yongeraho ati:
“Putin azakomeza kurwana igihe cyose ashoboye, keretse Ukraine nibwira ko irambiwe, ikemera ibyo Moscow isaba. Kandi numva Putin yicaye muri Kremlin yumva arimo kuzuza inzozi z’abategetsi b’u Burusiya ba kera, nk’aba tsars n’aba ba Stalin – yerekana ko u Burengerazuba butagomba guhubukira u Burusiya.”
Haracyari amahirwe yo kugera ku masezerano
Nubwo bigaragara nk’aho Trump na Putin bari ku rugendo rw’umuvuduko ugana ku guhangana budasubirwaho, si ko bimeze.
Trump yifata nk’umunyamasezerano w’indashyikirwa, kandi uko bimeze, biragaragara ko atari yacika intege ngo areke gushaka kumvikana na Putin.
Witkoff ateganyijwe kongera kujya i Moscow muri iki cyumweru kugira ngo agire ibiganiro na Kremlin.
Nubwo bitazwi neza ibyo azajyana, abasesenguzi bamwe i Moscow bavuga ko hari amahirwe y’uko azajyana ibyifuzo byiza birimo ubufatanye nyuma y’amasezerano.
Kuri iki Cyumweru, Trump yavuze ko u Burusiya “bushobora kuba bwarize kwirinda ibihano”, ibintu bitanyuze abategetsi i Washington.
Kuri uyu wa Mbere, Ivan Loshkarev wo muri kaminuza ya MGIMO i Moscow, yavuze ko “Witkoff ashobora kugeza ku Burusiya ibyifuzo by’ubufatanye bishobora gufunguka nyuma y’amasezerano”.
Ariko se Putin azemera guhosha intambara amaze imyaka isaga itatu n’igice arwana?
Nta cyizere gihamye gihari.
Kugeza ubu, Putin ntiyigeze ahindura umurego ku byo yifuza birimo:
- Gufata ibice byinshi bya Ukraine
- Ko Ukraine iba igihugu kitagira uruhande (neutral)
- No kugabanya ingano y’ingabo za Ukraine
Trump ashaka amasezerano. Putin we, ashaka intsinzi.
